Replication data for: The Zweitstimme forecast for the German federal election 2025: Coalition majorities and vacant districts
| Item Type: | Dataset |
|---|---|
| Title: | Replication data for: The Zweitstimme forecast for the German federal election 2025: Coalition majorities and vacant districts |
| Date: | 2025 |
| Creator: |
Erfort, Cornelius ; Stoetzer, Lukas  ORCID: 0000-0003-2486-7496 ; Gschwend, Thomas ORCID: 0000-0002-8656-9622 ; Koch, Elias ; Munzert, Simon ; Rajski, Hannah ORCID: 0000-0002-3231-7016
|
| Divisions: | Außerfakultäre Einrichtungen > Graduate School of Economic and Social Sciences- CDSS (Social Sciences) School of Social Sciences > Politische Wissenschaft, Quantitative Sozialwissenschaftliche Methoden (Gschwend 2007-) |
| DDC Classification: |
320 Political science |
|---|---|
| Abstract: | In this article, we provide a forecast for the German Federal Election of 2025. We use our previous forecasting models to provide national-level forecasts for party vote shares and district-level outcomes for candidate votes. We show that the combination of both permits us to calculate both forecasts for coalition majorities in parliament, and "vacant districts" under the recent electoral reforms. (English) |
| External Identifier for Data: | https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/KPFYDD |
| URL: | https://madata.bib.uni-mannheim.de/846/ |
|---|---|
| Access (Controlled): | Only Metadata |
| License (Controlled): | Creative Commons: CC0 | Universal 1.0 (recommended) |
| Related Publication(s) in MADOC: | Erfort, Cornelius und Stoetzer, Lukas F. und Gschwend, Thomas und Koch, Elias und Munzert, Simon und Rajski, Hannah (2026), The Zweitstimme forecast for the German Federal Election 2025: Coalition majorities and vacant districts |
Full text not available from this repository.
| Date Deposited: | 28 Apr 2026 15:08 |
|---|---|
| Last Modified: | 28 Apr 2026 15:08 |
You have found an error? Please let us know about your desired correction here: E-Mail
Actions (login required)
 |
View Item |
